Expert poker players know that the way to win consistently is to fold whenever you have a hand that is weak and hang in there when your hand is strong. They also know that when you have a good hand, it gets better as more cards are on the table. Extremely successful investors also know that it is vital to have a plan to cut losses quickly and to let profitable positions ride until they run out of steam. As obvious as these tactics seem, very few humans make good poker players or successful speculators because it is our nature to hold onto losing positions until we can regain our losses. We also tend to grab profits right away instead of letting them build. The key to changing this destructive behavior lies in having a plan to control your exposure to risk.
Whatever you do for a living, it is a good idea to know the point where you will stop putting energy into a losing situation. When you make your plans, build in a set of indicators that tell you that things are not working out and that it is time to exit gracefully, accepting your small losses as an investment in experience. By doing this you’ll leave yourself the energy and resources you need to go on to other things.
Conversely, when things are going well and you have begun to profit from them, you must resist the temptation to get out while the going is good. The best time to take your winnings is after the tide has turned and your project is running out of steam or changing. Getting out too early will not put you into the black. It works like this:
Imagine you get five bad hands in a poker game or five stock market picks start going down. The person without a risk control plan will lose a little too much money on each losing situation as they hope for a turnaround, adding up to considerable losses, possibly even breaking the bank. The player with an experienced attitude towards risk gets out as soon as it is apparent that things aren’t working out, taking a small loss. On the winning side, the participant without a plan who finally gets a profitable position will usually get out too early because of the desire to ‘protect’ their winnings. The experienced player knows that he must bet the pile on the winners and stay in there, taking money away from the little profit takers and making up for all those little losses he accepted earlier. One 100% gain wipes out nine 10% losses and shows a profit. One 100 % loss puts you out of business.
The secret of risk control is to have plan and stick to it, no matter what.